Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.001019 0.001164 0.001310 0.001468 0.001634 0.001802 0.001985
2025-08-10 0.000739 0.000939 0.001149 0.001383 0.001636 0.001899 0.002191
2025-08-17 0.000553 0.000790 0.001049 0.001348 0.001678 0.002028 0.002421
2025-08-24 0.000374 0.000626 0.000917 0.001264 0.001656 0.002080 0.002565
2025-08-31 0.000268 0.000532 0.000852 0.001247 0.001703 0.002202 0.002780
2025-09-07 0.000198 0.000471 0.000820 0.001262 0.001781 0.002356 0.003027
2025-09-14 0.000122 0.000387 0.000751 0.001226 0.001797 0.002437 0.003190
2025-09-21 0.000083 0.000347 0.000733 0.001250 0.001878 0.002589 0.003431
2025-09-28 0.000062 0.000332 0.000745 0.001308 0.001999 0.002785 0.003720
2025-10-05 0.000032 0.000288 0.000713 0.001308 0.002049 0.002898 0.003913
2025-10-12 0.000015 0.000260 0.000700 0.001331 0.002123 0.003038 0.004135
2025-10-19 0.000002 0.000217 0.000661 0.001316 0.002151 0.003121 0.004292
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000163 0.000610 0.001300 0.002198 0.003253 0.004534
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000094 0.000517 0.001222 0.002167 0.003293 0.004673
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000054 0.000460 0.001191 0.002192 0.003399 0.004889
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000016 0.000377 0.001112 0.002152 0.003425 0.005011
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000003 0.000339 0.001097 0.002193 0.003549 0.005246
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000321 0.001111 0.002272 0.003717 0.005533
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000277 0.001078 0.002285 0.003803 0.005721
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000267 0.001100 0.002373 0.003980 0.006016
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.000275 0.001155 0.002505 0.004212 0.006377
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.000254 0.001155 0.002560 0.004347 0.006621
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.000245 0.001177 0.002644 0.004517 0.006906